Uncertainty modelling and conditioning with convex imprecise previsions

Uncertainty modelling and conditioning with convex imprecise previsions

Two classes of imprecise previsions, which we termed convex and centered convex previsions, are studied in this paper in a framework close to Walley’s and Williams’ theory of imprecise previsions. We show that convex previsions are related with a concept of convex natural estension, which is useful in correcting a large class of inconsistent imprecise probability assessments, characterised by a...

Convex Imprecise Previsions: Basic Issues and Applications

In this paper we study two classes of imprecise previsions, which we termed convex and centered convex previsions, in the framework of Walley’s theory of imprecise previsions. We show that convex previsions are related with a concept of convex natural estension, which is useful in correcting a large class of inconsistent imprecise probability assessments. This class is characterised by a condit...

Convex Imprecise Previsions for Risk Measurement

In this paper we introduce convex imprecise previsions as a special class of imprecise previsions, showing that they retain or generalise most of the relevant properties of coherent imprecise previsions but are not necessarily positively homogeneous. The broader class of weakly convex imprecise previsions is also studied and its fundamental properties are demonstrated. The notions of weak conve...

Non convex technologies and economic efficiency measure with imprecise data

Envelope Theorems and Dilation with Convex Conditional Previsions

This paper focuses on establishing envelope theorems for convex conditional lower previsions, a recently investigated class of imprecise previsions larger than coherent imprecise conditional previsions. It is in particular discussed how the various theorems can be employed in assessing convex previsions. We also consider the problem of dilation for these kinds of imprecise previsions, and point...